Gold Market

Gold Below $4,500: 200-Day Moving Average Tested Amid Inflation and Rate Hike Fears – News and Statistics

Web Desk Send an email May 28, 2026
0 7 5 minutes read
Gold Below ,500: 200-Day Moving Average Tested Amid Inflation and Rate Hike Fears – News and Statistics

May 28, 2026

Gold prices have declined below $4,500 and are testing their 200-day moving average, according to a report by Kitco News. Short-term selling pressure is driven by growing inflation fears, which are leading markets to price in potential interest rate hikes later this year. Higher interest rates increase the opportunity cost of holding gold, a non-yielding asset.

Tom Winmill, portfolio manager at the Midas Discovery Fund, stated in an interview with Kitco News that he is looking beyond the current weakness. He believes the fundamental drivers behind gold’s rally remain intact, particularly central bank bullion accumulation and structural risks in the global economy. Winmill said he does not see many factors that could be bearish for gold in the long term at current prices.

One key development supporting gold, according to Winmill, is the continuing erosion of confidence in the U.S. dollar as the world’s dominant reserve currency. He pointed to the weaponization of the dollar and de-dollarization of global GDP as trends that could persist. If the dollar continues to lose reserve currency prestige, he argued, the dollar would weaken, further supporting central bank demand and providing a firm floor for gold.

Winmill also noted that inflation pressures and slowing economic growth could eventually create an ideal environment for gold. He doubts that central banks will tighten monetary policy aggressively enough to trigger deep recessions. Instead, he expects real interest rates to remain relatively low, a historically bullish backdrop for hard assets. He predicted the next move is likely to be lower real rates, which would reduce opportunity costs for holding gold.

Regarding the mining sector, Winmill said fears about profitability are exaggerated. Rising energy prices and inflation have weighed on sentiment, but he believes many investors underestimate how well-positioned miners are compared to previous cycles. He noted that the worry is overdone, especially for underground mining operations less sensitive to fuel costs. Many mining companies embraced alternative energy years ago, he added.

The sector has delivered some of its strongest earnings in years, generating record free cash flow and strengthening balance sheets. Even if margins compress modestly due to higher royalties, labor costs, and declining grades, Winmill said the industry remains fundamentally healthier than during previous gold bull markets. He expects revenues to increase despite inflation and higher costs.

Winmill warned that as gold rallies, weaker companies will likely flood the market to capitalize on investor enthusiasm. He advised focusing on producers with strong balance sheets, consistent free cash flow, and disciplined management. He highlighted Agnico Eagle as a standout example, praising its capital discipline, dividend history, and long-term strategic investments.

The lack of aggressive merger-and-acquisition activity among senior producers, Winmill said, reflects how the industry has changed. Higher gold prices have expanded existing reserves, reducing the urgency to acquire ounces in the ground. He noted that some large companies have more ounces than they can mine for decades.

For investors concerned about missing the move in mining equities, Winmill said opportunities still exist, though selectivity is increasingly important. He described the current environment as a stock pickers market, where disciplined operators capable of generating sustainable returns will separate themselves from speculative companies chasing momentum. He stated that the real trough in the valuation cycle has probably passed but good bargains remain.

Despite gold’s recent pause, Winmill said the broader bull market is far from exhausted. Structural deficits, persistent inflation pressures, geopolitical uncertainty, and ongoing central bank demand provide strong long-term support for bullion prices. He compared the current phase to catching a breath before starting to run again.

  1. 1. INTRODUCTION

    Making Data-Driven Decisions to Grow Your Business

    1. REPORT DESCRIPTION
    2. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY AND THE AI PLATFORM
    3. DATA-DRIVEN DECISIONS FOR YOUR BUSINESS
    4. GLOSSARY AND SPECIFIC TERMS

  2. 2. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

    A Quick Overview of Market Performance

    1. KEY FINDINGS
    2. MARKET TRENDS This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional EditionPRO

  3. 3. MARKET OVERVIEW

    Understanding the Current State of The Market and its Prospects

    1. MARKET SIZE: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2025) AND FORECAST (2026–2035)
    2. CONSUMPTION BY COUNTRY: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2025) AND FORECAST (2026–2035)
    3. MARKET FORECAST TO 2035

  4. 4. MOST PROMISING PRODUCTS FOR DIVERSIFICATION

    Finding New Products to Diversify Your Business

    1. TOP PRODUCTS TO DIVERSIFY YOUR BUSINESS
    2. BEST-SELLING PRODUCTS
    3. MOST CONSUMED PRODUCTS
    4. MOST TRADED PRODUCTS
    5. MOST PROFITABLE PRODUCTS FOR EXPORT

  5. 5. MOST PROMISING SUPPLYING COUNTRIES

    Choosing the Best Countries to Establish Your Sustainable Supply Chain

    1. TOP COUNTRIES TO SOURCE YOUR PRODUCT
    2. TOP PRODUCING COUNTRIES
    3. TOP EXPORTING COUNTRIES
    4. LOW-COST EXPORTING COUNTRIES

  6. 6. MOST PROMISING OVERSEAS MARKETS

    Choosing the Best Countries to Boost Your Export

    1. TOP OVERSEAS MARKETS FOR EXPORTING YOUR PRODUCT
    2. TOP CONSUMING MARKETS
    3. UNSATURATED MARKETS
    4. TOP IMPORTING MARKETS
    5. MOST PROFITABLE MARKETS

  7. 7. PRODUCTION

    The Latest Trends and Insights into The Industry

    1. PRODUCTION VOLUME AND VALUE: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2025) AND FORECAST (2026–2035)
    2. PRODUCTION BY COUNTRY: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2025) AND FORECAST (2026–2035)

  8. 8. IMPORTS

    The Largest Import Supplying Countries

    1. IMPORTS: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2025) AND FORECAST (2026–2035)
    2. IMPORTS BY COUNTRY: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2025) AND FORECAST (2026–2035)
    3. IMPORT PRICES BY COUNTRY: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2025) AND FORECAST (2026–2035)

  9. 9. EXPORTS

    The Largest Destinations for Exports

    1. EXPORTS: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2025) AND FORECAST (2026–2035)
    2. EXPORTS BY COUNTRY: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2025) AND FORECAST (2026–2035)
    3. EXPORT PRICES BY COUNTRY: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2025) AND FORECAST (2026–2035)

  10. 10. PROFILES OF MAJOR PRODUCERS

    The Largest Producers on The Market and Their Profiles

  11. 11. COUNTRY PROFILES

    The Largest Markets And Their Profiles

    This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition
    PRO

    1. 11.1

      United States

      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports

    2. 11.2

      China

      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports

    3. 11.3

      Japan

      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports

    4. 11.4

      Germany

      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports

    5. 11.5

      United Kingdom

      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports

    6. 11.6

      France

      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports

    7. 11.7

      Brazil

      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports

    8. 11.8

      Italy

      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports

    9. 11.9

      Russian Federation

      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports

    10. 11.10

      India

      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports

    11. 11.11

      Canada

      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports

    12. 11.12

      Australia

      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports

    13. 11.13

      Republic of Korea

      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports

    14. 11.14

      Spain

      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports

    15. 11.15

      Mexico

      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports

    16. 11.16

      Indonesia

      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports

    17. 11.17

      Netherlands

      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports

    18. 11.18

      Turkey

      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports

    19. 11.19

      Saudi Arabia

      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports

    20. 11.20

      Switzerland

      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports

    21. 11.21

      Sweden

      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports

    22. 11.22

      Nigeria

      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports

    23. 11.23

      Poland

      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports

    24. 11.24

      Belgium

      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports

    25. 11.25

      Argentina

      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports

    26. 11.26

      Norway

      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports

    27. 11.27

      Austria

      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports

    28. 11.28

      Thailand

      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports

    29. 11.29

      United Arab Emirates

      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports

    30. 11.30

      Colombia

      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports

    31. 11.31

      Denmark

      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports

    32. 11.32

      South Africa

      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports

    33. 11.33

      Malaysia

      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports

    34. 11.34

      Israel

      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports

    35. 11.35

      Singapore

      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports

    36. 11.36

      Egypt

      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports

    37. 11.37

      Philippines

      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports

    38. 11.38

      Finland

      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports

    39. 11.39

      Chile

      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports

    40. 11.40

      Ireland

      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports

    41. 11.41

      Pakistan

      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports

    42. 11.42

      Greece

      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports

    43. 11.43

      Portugal

      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports

    44. 11.44

      Kazakhstan

      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports

    45. 11.45

      Algeria

      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports

    46. 11.46

      Czech Republic

      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports

    47. 11.47

      Qatar

      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports

    48. 11.48

      Peru

      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports

    49. 11.49

      Romania

      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports

    50. 11.50

      Vietnam

      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports

  12. LIST OF TABLES

    1. Key Findings In 2025
    2. Market Volume, In Physical Terms: Historical Data (2012–2025) and Forecast (2026–2035)
    3. Market Value: Historical Data (2012–2025) and Forecast (2026–2035)
    4. Per Capita Consumption, by Country, 2022–2025
    5. Production, In Physical Terms, By Country: Historical Data (2012–2025) and Forecast (2026–2035)
    6. Imports, In Physical Terms, By Country: Historical Data (2012–2025) and Forecast (2026–2035)
    7. Imports, In Value Terms, By Country: Historical Data (2012–2025) and Forecast (2026–2035)
    8. Import Prices, By Country: Historical Data (2012–2025) and Forecast (2026–2035)
    9. Exports, In Physical Terms, By Country: Historical Data (2012–2025) and Forecast (2026–2035)
    10. Exports, In Value Terms, By Country: Historical Data (2012–2025) and Forecast (2026–2035)
    11. Export Prices, By Country: Historical Data (2012–2025) and Forecast (2026–2035)

  13. LIST OF FIGURES

    1. Market Volume, In Physical Terms: Historical Data (2012–2025) and Forecast (2026–2035)
    2. Market Value: Historical Data (2012–2025) and Forecast (2026–2035)
    3. Consumption, by Country, 2025
    4. Market Volume Forecast to 2035
    5. Market Value Forecast to 2035
    6. Market Size and Growth, By Product
    7. Average Per Capita Consumption, By Product
    8. Exports and Growth, By Product
    9. Export Prices and Growth, By Product
    10. Production Volume and Growth
    11. Exports and Growth
    12. Export Prices and Growth
    13. Market Size and Growth
    14. Per Capita Consumption
    15. Imports and Growth
    16. Import Prices
    17. Production, In Physical Terms: Historical Data (2012–2025) and Forecast (2026–2035)
    18. Production, In Value Terms: Historical Data (2012–2025) and Forecast (2026–2035)
    19. Production, by Country, 2025
    20. Production, In Physical Terms, by Country: Historical Data (2012–2025) and Forecast (2026–2035)
    21. Imports, In Physical Terms: Historical Data (2012–2025) and Forecast (2026–2035)
    22. Imports, In Value Terms: Historical Data (2012–2025) and Forecast (2026–2035)
    23. Imports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2025
    24. Imports, In Physical Terms, By Country: Historical Data (2012–2025) and Forecast (2026–2035)
    25. Imports, In Value Terms, By Country: Historical Data (2012–2025) and Forecast (2026–2035)
    26. Import Prices, By Country: Historical Data (2012–2025) and Forecast (2026–2035)
    27. Exports, In Physical Terms: Historical Data (2012–2025) and Forecast (2026–2035)
    28. Exports, In Value Terms: Historical Data (2012–2025) and Forecast (2026–2035)
    29. Exports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2025
    30. Exports, In Physical Terms, By Country: Historical Data (2012–2025) and Forecast (2026–2035)
    31. Exports, In Value Terms, By Country: Historical Data (2012–2025) and Forecast (2026–2035)
    32. Export Prices, By Country: Historical Data (2012–2025) and Forecast (2026–2035)

Web Desk Send an email May 28, 2026
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