A Look At WiseTech Global’s Valuation As Governance Stabilises And Saudi Logistics Partnership Takes Shape

WiseTech Global (ASX:WTC) is back in focus after a challenging 2025, with the company pointing to steadier governance and a new Saudi logistics partnership as it refines its CargoWise commercial model.

See our latest analysis for WiseTech Global.

These governance issues, equity incentive moves and the Saudi MoU sit against a weak recent share price run, with a 90 day share price return of 20.96% decline and a 1 year total shareholder return of 43.65% decline. However, the 5 year total shareholder return of 127.88% shows that long term holders have still seen substantial gains, so recent momentum looks to be fading rather than building.

If WiseTech’s story has you reassessing your watchlist, it could be worth widening your net and checking out fast growing stocks with high insider ownership for other ideas with strong insider alignment.

With revenue and net income still growing at double digit rates, and the share price down sharply over the past year, the key question is whether WiseTech is now on sale or if the market already reflects its future growth.

Most Popular Narrative: 37.5% Undervalued

With WiseTech Global last closing at A$67.11 against a narrative fair value of A$107.32, the current share price sits well below that estimate, putting the focus on how ambitious the underlying growth and margin assumptions really are.

The rollout of the new unified, transaction-based CargoWise commercial model (the “Value Pack”), which removes seat-based pricing and bundles advanced AI-driven workflow and management engines, is expected to accelerate market penetration, reduce adoption friction, and open the SME market, resulting in significant recurring revenue uplift and higher customer retention as user engagement scales with transaction volumes.

Read the complete narrative.

Curious what kind of revenue curve and profit margin this narrative is baking in, and what future earnings multiple ties it all together? The answer leans heavily on rapid top line expansion, firm margins and a valuation multiple more often associated with high growth software leaders. Want to see exactly how those moving parts translate into that fair value number? Read on and test whether these assumptions line up with your own view.

Result: Fair Value of $107.32 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what’s behind the forecasts.

However, there are meaningful watchpoints here, including E2open integration costs and execution risk, as well as the shift to transaction pricing potentially weighing on revenue from larger customers.

Find out about the key risks to this WiseTech Global narrative.

Another View: SWS DCF Says Overvalued

There is a twist when you switch to our DCF model. On this view, WiseTech Global at A$67.11 sits above an estimated fair value of A$46.06, which points to an overvalued outcome rather than the 37.5% undervalued narrative. Which story aligns more closely with your own assumptions?

Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value.

Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out WiseTech Global for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 880 undervalued stocks based on their cash flows. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match – so you never miss a potential opportunity.

Build Your Own WiseTech Global Narrative

If you are not convinced by these assumptions or prefer to work from your own research, you can stress test the same data yourself and Do it your way in just a few minutes.

A good starting point is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards investors are optimistic about regarding WiseTech Global.

Ready for more stock ideas?

If WiseTech has sharpened your thinking, do not stop here. Use the Simply Wall St Screener to quickly spot other opportunities that might fit your style.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data
and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your
financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.
Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.
Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com