Earnings

A Look at China Education Group Holdings (SEHK:839) Valuation Following Strong Full-Year Earnings Growth

China Education Group Holdings (SEHK:839) just released its full-year earnings, highlighting a jump in both revenue and net income compared to last year. Investors are watching closely as these numbers reflect meaningful growth for the company.

See our latest analysis for China Education Group Holdings.

China Education Group Holdings’ latest results seem to have given investors a lift, with the share price up nearly 5% over the past week. That said, momentum remains uneven. While short-term moves are positive, the one-year total shareholder return sits at -16% and the five-year track record reflects a steep decline of 76%. Recent earnings growth could help shift sentiment if the company continues to deliver, but the market is still gauging whether this rebound will stick.

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With shares still far below their five-year highs and recent earnings showing marked improvement, does China Education Group Holdings now offer a compelling entry point, or is the market already factoring in a turnaround?

China Education Group Holdings currently trades at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 7.3x, which is nearly 60% lower than our estimate of its fair value. With its most recent close at HK$2.8, the stock appears undervalued both by direct sector comparison and absolute benchmarks.

The price-to-earnings ratio reflects how much investors are willing to pay for each dollar of earnings. For a private education operator like China Education Group Holdings, it is a useful gauge of market expectations around profitability and sector growth.

At 7.3x, the P/E ratio matches the Hong Kong Consumer Services industry average but is significantly lower than the peer group average of 16.7x. According to our regression-based fair ratio, a move toward a higher multiple is possible if current earnings growth continues or accelerates. This suggests the market may be underpricing the company’s future earnings potential given its recent performance turnaround.

Explore the SWS fair ratio for China Education Group Holdings

Result: Price-to-Earnings of 7.3x (UNDERVALUED)

However, persistent share price volatility and lackluster long-term returns still pose risks that may challenge the sustainability of this recent positive momentum.

Find out about the key risks to this China Education Group Holdings narrative.

Taking a step back from earnings multiples, our SWS DCF model estimates China Education Group Holdings’ fair value at HK$6.83 per share, which is significantly higher than the current HK$2.8 price. This suggests a deeper discount than what the P/E ratio indicates. However, it is important to consider how much confidence investors should place in these long-range forecasts.

Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value.

839 Discounted Cash Flow as at Nov 2025

Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out China Education Group Holdings for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 914 undervalued stocks based on their cash flows. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match – so you never miss a potential opportunity.

If you want to dig into the numbers or arrive at your own conclusions, you can build a personalized narrative in just a few minutes. Do it your way

A great starting point for your China Education Group Holdings research is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Companies discussed in this article include 0839.HK.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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