Earnings

A Look At General Electric’s Valuation As Earnings Expectations And Contract Wins Support Optimism

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General Electric (GE) stock is in focus as investors look ahead to GE Aerospace’s fourth quarter 2025 earnings, with sentiment shaped by recent contract wins, operational investments, and past earnings surprises.

See our latest analysis for General Electric.

The recent 1 day share price return of 1.97% to US$318.50 comes after a year shaped by GE Aerospace’s engine deals, new leadership appointments and defense contract activity. The 1 year total shareholder return of 70.05% and very large 3 year and 5 year total shareholder returns suggest momentum has been strong rather than fading.

If GE’s run has you watching aerospace more closely, this could be a good moment to scan aerospace and defense stocks for other aviation and defense names catching investor interest.

With GE trading at US$318.50 after a 70.05% 1 year total return and sitting about 11% below the average analyst price target of US$354.82, you have to ask: is there still a buying opportunity here, or is the market already pricing in future growth?

With General Electric closing at US$318.50 and trading on a P/E of 41.7x, the market is assigning a premium earnings multiple compared with peers and fair value estimates.

The P/E ratio compares the share price to earnings per share, so a higher P/E usually reflects stronger growth expectations or a willingness to pay more for each dollar of profit. For GE Aerospace, that means investors are tying the current price closely to its earnings profile and its position across commercial and defense engine markets.

According to the Simply Wall St DCF model, GE at US$318.50 sits above an estimated future cash flow value of US$194.23, so the market price is well ahead of that cash flow based anchor. At the same time, the current P/E of 41.7x is higher than the estimated fair P/E of 37.4x, a level the valuation work suggests the market could move towards if enthusiasm cools or earnings catch up.

Relative to the US Aerospace & Defense industry average P/E of 41.7x and a peer average of 29.8x, GE screens as expensive both against its closest comparables and against that regression based fair ratio benchmark. That combination points to a stock already priced at the upper end of sector expectations, with limited room in the multiple if growth or profitability trends soften.

Explore the SWS fair ratio for General Electric

Result: Price-to-Earnings of 41.7x (OVERVALUED)

However, the premium P/E and GE’s existing share price gains mean any disappointment in earnings or contract momentum could quickly pressure both the multiple and sentiment.

Find out about the key risks to this General Electric narrative.

While the P/E of 41.7x points to an expensive stock, the Simply Wall St DCF model goes a step further and suggests GE at US$318.50 is trading above an estimated future cash flow value of US$194.23. That implies the price is well ahead of cash flow support. How comfortable are you paying that gap?

Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value.

GE Discounted Cash Flow as at Jan 2026

Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out General Electric for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 881 undervalued stocks based on their cash flows. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match – so you never miss a potential opportunity.

If you see the numbers differently or prefer to rely on your own work, you can pull the data, stress test your view, and Do it your way in under three minutes.

A great starting point for your General Electric research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.

If GE has sharpened your focus, do not stop here. Use the Screener to spot your next idea before it ends up on everyone else’s radar.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Companies discussed in this article include GE.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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