Tech

Bitcoin Mirrors Tech Stocks, Not Gold, Says Grayscale

Zach Pandl, Grayscale’s head of research, explained that short-term price movements for Bitcoin have not correlated with gold or precious metals.

Bitcoin News

A Tuesday report from Grayscale reveals Bitcoin is currently trading in lockstep with high-growth technology stocks rather than functioning as a safe haven asset. The findings challenge the digital gold narrative that has long surrounded the cryptocurrency.
Zach Pandl, Grayscale’s head of research, explained that short-term price movements for Bitcoin have not correlated with gold or precious metals. Instead, the analysis shows a strong connection between Bitcoin and software equities that developed since early 2024, with both assets declining together as artificial intelligence concerns pressure the technology sector.

The asset manager noted that while Bitcoin possesses long-term store-of-value characteristics due to its capped supply and independence from central banks, market behavior suggests otherwise in the current environment. Pandl emphasized that the cryptocurrency’s 17-year history remains brief compared to gold’s millennia-long role as money.

Bitcoin has fallen approximately 50% from its October high above $126,000 through several selling waves. The decline started with a historic liquidation event in October 2025, continued with renewed pressure in late November, and again in late January 2026.

Grayscale’s research pointed to concentrated U.S. selling activity in recent weeks, citing ongoing price discounts observed on Coinbase. This pattern indicates domestic investors have been driving much of the downward pressure on the asset.

Physical gold and silver have simultaneously rallied to record levels while Bitcoin declined, further undermining the safe-haven thesis. The divergence shows scarcity alone has not made Bitcoin behave like traditional stores of value during periods of market stress.

The report attributes Bitcoin’s sensitivity to risk assets to its growing integration within traditional finance through institutional participation and exchange-traded fund activity. Macroeconomic risk sentiment shifts now impact Bitcoin pricing similarly to how they affect growth-oriented equities.

Pandl characterized investing in Bitcoin today as fundamentally a bet on future adoption rather than current monetary status. Until the cryptocurrency achieves widespread acceptance as a global monetary asset, its price will likely remain sensitive to risk appetite and move with growth portfolios.

Near-term recovery prospects depend on fresh capital entering the market through renewed ETF inflows or retail investor participation, according to the analysis. Market maker Wintermute observed that retail investors have recently concentrated their attention on AI stocks and growth narratives, limiting immediate demand for crypto.

Looking ahead, Grayscale identified regulatory progress on stablecoins and tokenized assets combined with blockchain infrastructure development as potential catalysts for the next adoption phase. The firm expects platforms like Ethereum and Solana, along with middleware solutions, to benefit from these trends.

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