Global Stocks

Global Market Today: Asian stocks edge higher amid fragile Middle East ceasefire

Oil rose and Asian stocks posted a modest gain as investors remained cautious amid a shaky Middle East ceasefire ahead of US-Iran talks this weekend.

Brent climbed about 1% to just under $97 a barrel as US President Donald Trump threatened Tehran over charging fees for vessels to use the Strait of Hormuz, a vital waterway that remains effectively shut. Trump also accused Iran of doing a “poor job” of letting energy supplies flow. The dollar strengthened against all its Group-of-10 peers.

MSCI’s equity gauge for Asia Pacific opened 0.4% higher, heading for its first weekly gain since February. Technology shares — seen as less impacted by the war in Iran — rallied after CoreWeave Inc. struck another, much larger $21 billion deal to supply computing power to Meta Platforms Inc. South Korean shares — a bellwether for artificial intelligence investment — jumped 2%.

US equity-index futures slipped 0.2% amid lingering tensions as Israeli strikes in Lebanon and the continued closure of the strait weighed on sentiment. Gold dropped 0.3% to about $4,750 an ounce, while Treasuries were a touch weaker.

Traders are watching the shaky ceasefire and planned US-Iran talks in Islamabad this weekend for clues on the market’s next move. While oil is headed for its biggest weekly loss in more than nine months and global stocks are set for a second week of gains, sustaining the rally will depend on confidence that the truce holds and oil flows smoothly through the Strait of Hormuz.


“Not much matters for the market other than the durability of the ceasefire, shipping volume through the Strait of Hormuz and ultimately, whether a bona fide permanent deal is struck,” said Bradford Smith, a fund manager at Janus Henderson Investors.
The mood is cautious in the market as Trump’s declaration signals the US may oppose any new arrangement where Iran uses leverage over the strait to charge tolls. Iran has previously suggested that the fees could be used to rebuild from the war.Meanwhile, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu agreed to hold direct talks with Lebanon, with the focus on disarming Tehran-aligned Hezbollah. Trump has asked him for a scale-back in strikes to ensure the success of negotiations with Iran, NBC News reported.

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