Small Caps

A Look At Topicus.com (TSXV:TOI) Valuation After Higher Q1 Revenue And Softer Earnings

Q1 results spotlight: higher revenue, lower earnings

Topicus.com (TSXV:TOI) reported first quarter 2026 results with revenue of €435.69 million compared with €355.6 million a year earlier, while net income moved to €34.21 million from €44.81 million.

See our latest analysis for Topicus.com.

The share price has been volatile around the earnings announcement, with a 2.31% 1 day share price return but a 30 day share price return down 8.45%, while the 1 year total shareholder return has declined 46.95% and the 5 year total shareholder return remains positive at 22.34%.

If Topicus.com’s moves have you thinking about where software and automation could go next, it may be worth scanning 30 robotics and automation stocks

With revenue higher, earnings lower and the share price down sharply over the past year, while some long term returns are still positive, the key question is whether Topicus.com is now undervalued or if the market is already pricing in future growth.

Preferred Price-to-Sales Ratio of 3x: Is it justified?

At a last close of CA$93.93, Topicus.com is being described as good value, with the stock trading at a P/S of 3x and at a discount to several fair value indicators.

The P/S ratio compares the company’s market value to its revenue. This can be useful for software businesses where earnings can be distorted by one off items and accounting choices.

For Topicus.com, several checks line up in the same direction. It is described as trading at good value compared with peers and the wider Canadian software sector. Its 3x P/S is similar to the Canadian software industry average of 3.1x. It is also in line with an estimated fair P/S of 3x based on regression work. Alongside that, the stock is quoted as trading 39.9% below an internal fair value estimate and at a sizeable discount to a CA$156.25 fair value from the SWS DCF model. Analysts on average set a price target around 54.5% above the current share price and are said to be in reasonable agreement.

Explore the SWS fair ratio for Topicus.com

Result: Price-to-Sales ratio of 3x (UNDERVALUED)

However, the sharp 1 year share price decline and softer recent total returns suggest sentiment could stay cautious if revenue growth or margins lose momentum.

Find out about the key risks to this Topicus.com narrative.

Another view: DCF points to deeper undervaluation

While the 3x P/S suggests Topicus.com is in line with industry norms, the SWS DCF model presents a different perspective, with a fair value estimate of CA$156.25 per share compared with the current CA$93.93. That gap indicates the market may be applying a significant discount to future cash flows.

Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value.

TOI Discounted Cash Flow as at May 2026

Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out Topicus.com for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 9 high quality undervalued stocks. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match – so you never miss a potential opportunity.

Next Steps

With sentiment clearly mixed, the real question is how you weigh the trade off between those risks and potential rewards. Take a closer look and ground your view in the 4 key rewards and 2 important warning signs

Looking for more investment ideas?

If Topicus.com has sharpened your focus on where to put capital to work next, it makes sense to line up a few fresh ideas before the market’s next move.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data
and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice.
It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your
financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.
Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.
Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Valuation is complex, but we’re here to simplify it.

Discover if Topicus.com might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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